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Full Opinion
OPINION OF THE COURT
At issue in this antitrust action are the standards a district court applies when deciding whether to certify a class. We will vacate the order certifying the class in this case and remand for proceedings consistent with this opinion.
In deciding whether to certify a class under Fed.R.Civ.P. 23, the district court must make whatever factual and legal inquiries are necessary and must consider all relevant evidence and arguments presented by the parties. See Newton v. Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc., 259 F.3d 154, 166, 167 (3d Cir.2001) (citing Szabo v. Bridgeport Machs., Inc., 249 F.3d 672, 676 (7th Cir.2001); Manual for Complex Litigation (Third) § 30.1 (1995)). In this appeal, we clarify three key aspects of class certification procedure. First, the decision to certify a class calls for findings by the court, not merely a âthreshold showingâ by a party, that each requirement of Rule 23 is met. Factual determinations supporting Rule 23 findings must be made by a preponderance of the evidence. Second, the court must resolve all factual or legal disputes relevant to class certification, even if they overlap with the merits â including disputes touching on elements of the cause of action. Third, the courtâs obligation to consider all relevant evidence and arguments extends to expert testimony, whether offered by a party seeking class certification or by a party opposing it.
I.
Purchasers of hydrogen peroxide and related chemical products brought this antitrust conspiracy action against chemical manufacturers. 1 An inorganic liquid, hydrogen peroxide is used most prominently as a bleach in the pulp and paper industry with smaller amounts appearing in chemicals and laundry products, environmental applications, textiles, and electronics. Hydrogen peroxide is available in solutions of different concentrations and grades depending on its intended use. Major concentrations are 35, 50, and 70 percent. The grades, roughly in order from least- to most-expensive, are: standard, food/cosmetic (which must meet FDA standards), electronic, and propulsion. All defendants sold the standard grade, but not all defendants sold all other grades. Defendants sold different amounts of each of the grades. Each grade has different supply and demand conditions because the grades are sold to end-users in a variety of industries with different economic characteristics. According to defendants, the differ *308 ent grades are not economic substitutes for each other, but plaintiffs disagree. Prices diverge dramatically among grades; electronic or propulsion grade can be as much as five times more expensive than standard grade.
The other two products at issue are sodium percarbonate and sodium perbo-rate, together known as persalts, which are granular solids containing hydrogen peroxide used primarily as detergents. Among the defendants, only Solvay produced and sold sodium percarbonate in the United States during the class period. Solvay Chemicals, Degussa Corp., and FMC sold sodium perborate in the United States during the class period. Akzo, Arkema, and Kemira did not sell or produce sodium perborate in the United States during the class period.
After the United States Department of Justice and the European Commission began investigating possible violations of the antitrust laws in the hydrogen peroxide industry, 2 several plaintiffs filed class action complaints against producers of hydrogen peroxide and persalts under § 4 of the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. § 15, alleging a conspiracy in restraint of trade violating § 1 of the Sherman Act, 15 U.S.C. § 1. The Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation transferred all cognate federal actions to the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, which consolidated the cases. See In re Hydrogen Peroxide Antitrust Litig., 374 F.Supp.2d 1345 (J.P.M.L.2005). The consolidated amended complaint alleged that during an eleven-year class period (January 1, 1994-January 5, 2005) defendants (1) communicated about prices they would charge, (2) agreed to charge prices at certain levels, (3) exchanged information on prices and sales volume, (4) allocated markets and customers, (5) agreed to reduce production capacity, (6) monitored each other, and (7) sold hydrogen peroxide at agreed prices.
The District Court denied defendantsâ motion to dismiss the complaint for failure to state a claim. Following extensive discovery, 3 plaintiffs moved to certify a class of direct purchasers of hydrogen peroxide, sodium perborate, and sodium percarbo-nate, over an eleven-year class period. In support of class certification, plaintiffs offered the opinion of an economist. Defendants, opposing class certification, offered the opinion of a different economist. Defendants separately moved to exclude the opinion of plaintiffsâ economist as unreliable under Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 (1993). Concluding plaintiffsâ expertâs opinion was admissible and supported plaintiffsâ motion for class certification, the District Court certified a class of direct purchasers of hydrogen peroxide, sodium perborate, and sodium per-carbonate under Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3). See In re Hydrogen Peroxide Antitrust Litig., 240 F.R.D. 163 (E.D.Pa.2007). The District Court identified seven issues to be tried on a class-wide basis: (1) whether defendants and others engaged in a combi *309 nation and conspiracy to fix, raise, maintain, or stabilize prices; allocate customers and markets; or control and restrict output of hydrogen peroxide, sodium perbo-rate, and sodium percarbonate sold in the United States; (2) the identity of the participants in the alleged conspiracy; (3) the duration of the alleged conspiracy and the nature and character of defendantsâ acts performed in furtherance of it; (4) the effect of the alleged conspiracy on the prices of hydrogen peroxide and persalts during the class period; (5) whether the alleged conspiracy violated the Sherman Act; (6) whether the activities alleged in furtherance of the conspiracy or their effect on the prices of hydrogen peroxide and persalts during the class period injured named plaintiffs and the other members of the class; and (7) the proper means of calculating and distributing damages. The class was defined as:
All persons or entities, including state, local and municipal government entities (but excluding defendants, their parents, predecessors, successors, subsidiaries, and affiliates as well as federal government entities) who purchased hydrogen peroxide, sodium perborate, or sodium percarbonate in the United States, its territories, or possessions, or from a facility located in the United States, its territories, or possessions, directly from any of the defendants, or from any of their parents, predecessors, successors, subsidiaries, or affiliates, at any time during the period from September 14, 1994 to January 5, 2005.
We granted defendantsâ petition for an interlocutory appeal under Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(f). 4
II.
Class certification is proper only âif the trial court is satisfied, after a rigorous analysis, that the prerequisitesâ of Rule 23 are met. 5 Gen. Tel. Co. of Sw. v. Falcon, 457 U.S. 147, 161, 102 S.Ct. 2364, 72 L.Ed.2d 740 (1982); see Beck v. Maximus, Inc., 457 F.3d 291, 297 (3d Cir.2006); see also Amchem Prods., Inc. v. Windsor, 521 U.S. 591, 615, 117 S.Ct. 2231, 138 L.Ed.2d 689 (1997) (Rule 23(b)(3) requirements demand a âclose lookâ). âA class certification decision requires a thorough examination of the factual and legal allegations.â Newton, 259 F.3d at 166. 6
*310 The trial court, well-positioned to decide which facts and legal arguments are most important to each Rule 23 requirement, possesses broad discretion to control proceedings and frame issues for consideration under Rule 23. See Amchem, 521 U.S. at 630, 117 S.Ct. 2231 (Breyer, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part) (recognizing that the decision on class certification may implicate âhighly fact-based, complex, and difficult mattersâ). But proper discretion does not soften the rule: a class may not be certified without a finding that each Rule 23 requirement is met. Careful application of Rule 23 accords with the pivotal status of class certification in large-scale litigation, because
denying or granting class certification is often the defining moment in class actions (for it may sound the âdeath knellâ of the litigation on the part of plaintiffs, or create unwarranted pressure to settle nonmeritorious claims on the part of defendants)....
Newton, 259 F.3d at 162; see id. at 167 (âIrrespective of the merits, certification decisions may have a decisive effect on litigation.â); see also Coopers & Lybrand v. Livesay, 437 U.S. 463, 476, 98 S.Ct. 2454, 57 L.Ed.2d 351 (1978). In some cases, class certification âmay force a defendant to settle rather than incur the costs of defending a class action and run the risk of potentially ruinous liability.â Fed.R.Civ.P. 23 advisory committeeâs note, 1998 Amendments. Accordingly, the potential for unwarranted settlement pressure âis a factor we weigh in our certification calculus.â Newton, 259 F.3d at 168 n. 8. The Supreme Court recently cautioned that certain antitrust class actions may present prime opportunities for plaintiffs to exert pressure upon defendants to settle weak claims. See Bell Atl. Corp. v. Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 127 S.Ct. 1955, 1967, 167 L.Ed.2d 929 (2007).
III.
Here, the District Court found the Rule 23(a) requirements were met, a determination defendants do not now challenge. Plaintiffs sought certification under Rule 23(b)(3), which is permissible when the court âfinds that the questions of law or fact common to class members predominate over any questions affecting only individual members, and that a class action is superior to other available methods for fairly and efficiently adjudicating the controversy.â 7 Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3). The twin requirements of Rule 23(b)(3) are known as predominance and superiority.
Only the predominance requirement is disputed in this appeal. Predomi *311 nance âtests whether proposed classes are sufficiently cohesive to warrant adjudication by representation,â Amchem, 521 U.S. at 623, 117 S.Ct. 2231, a standard âfar more demandingâ than the commonality requirement of Rule 23(a), id. at 623-24, 117 S.Ct. 2231, ârequiring more than a common claim,â Newton, 259 F.3d at 187. âIssues common to the class must predominate over individual issues.... â In re Prudential Ins. Co. Am. Sales Practice Litig., 148 F.3d 283, 313-14 (3d Cir.1998). Because the ânature of the evidence that will suffice to resolve a question determines whether the question is common or individual,â Blades v. Monsanto Co., 400 F.3d 562, 566 (8th Cir.2005), ââa district court must formulate some prediction as to how specific issues will play out in order to determine whether common or individual issues predominate in a given case,â â In re New Motor Vehicles Can. Exp. Antitrust Litig., 522 F.3d 6, 20 (1st Cir.2008) [hereinafter New Motor Vehicles ] (quoting Waste Mgmt. Holdings, Inc. v. Mowbray, 208 F.3d 288, 298 (1st Cir.2000)). 8 âIf proof of the essential elements of the cause of action requires individual treatment, then class certification is unsuitable.â Newton, 259 F.3d at 172. Accordingly, we examine the elements of plaintiffsâ claim âthrough the prismâ of Rule 23 to determine whether the District Court properly certified the class. Id. at 181.
A.
The elements of plaintiffsâ claim are (1) a violation of the antitrust laws â here, § 1 of the Sherman Act, (2) individual injury resulting from that violation, and (3) measurable damages. 15 U.S.C. § 15; Am. Bearing Co. v. Litton Indus., Inc., 729 F.2d 943, 948 (3d Cir.1984); Blades, 400 F.3d at 566. Importantly, individual injury (also known as antitrust impact) is an element of the cause of action; to prevail on the merits, every class member must prove at least some antitrust impact resulting from the alleged violation. Bogosian v. Gulf Oil Corp., 561 F.2d 434, 454 (3d Cir.1977); see Newton, 259 F.3d at 188 (In antitrust and securities fraud class actions, â[p]roof of injury (whether or not an injury occurred at all) must be distinguished from calculation of damages (which determines the actual value of the injury)â).
In antitrust cases, impact often is critically important for the purpose of evaluating Rule 23(b)(3)âs predominance requirement because it is an element of the claim that may call for individual, as opposed to common, proof. See New Motor Vehicles, 522 F.3d at 20 (âIn antitrust class actions, common issues do not predominate if the fact of antitrust violation and the fact of antitrust impact cannot be established through common proof.â); Bell Atl. Corp. v. AT & T Corp., 339 F.3d 294, 302 (5th Cir.2003) (â[W]here fact of damage cannot be established for every class member through proof common to the class, the need to establish antitrust liability for individual class members defeats Rule 23(b)(3) predominance.â); see also Blades, 400 F.3d at 572 (â[P]roof of conspiracy is not proof of common injury.â).
Plaintiffsâ burden at the class certification stage is not to prove the element of antitrust impact, although in order to prevail on the merits each class member must do so. Instead, the task for plaintiffs at class certification is to demonstrate that the element of antitrust impact is capable of proof at trial through evidence that is common to the class rather than individual *312 to its members. Deciding this issue calls for the district courtâs rigorous assessment of the available evidence and the method or methods by which plaintiffs propose to use the evidence to prove impact at trial. See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23 advisory committeeâs note, 2003 Amendments (âA critical need is to determine how the case will be tried.â); see, e.g., In re Linerboard Antitrust Litig., 305 F.3d 145, 155 (3d Cir.2002) (ârejecting] the contention that plaintiffs did not demonstrate that sufficient proof was available, for use at trial, to prove antitrust impact common to all the members of the classâ).
Here, the District Court found the predominance requirement was met because plaintiffs would be able to use common, as opposed to individualized, evidence to prove antitrust impact at trial. On appeal, defendants contend the District Court erred in three principal respects in finding plaintiffs satisfied the predominance requirement: (1) by applying too lenient a standard of proof for class certification, (2) by failing meaningfully to consider the views of defendantsâ expert while crediting plaintiffsâ expert, and (3) by erroneously applying presumption of antitrust impact under Bogosian, 561 F.2d at 454-55.
We review a class certification order for abuse of discretion, which occurs if the district courtâs decision ârests upon a clearly erroneous finding of fact, an errant conclusion of law or an improper application of law to fact.â Newton, 259 F.3d at 165. â[W]hether an incorrect legal standard has been used is an issue of law to be reviewed de novo.â In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig., 471 F.3d 24, 32 (2d Cir.2006) [hereinafter IPO ] (citation omitted). 9
B.
We summarize briefly the evidence and arguments offered to the District Court. As noted, both plaintiffs and defendants presented the opinions of expert economists. Importantly, the experts disagreed on the key disputed predominance issueâ whether antitrust impact was capable of proof at trial through evidence common to the class, as opposed to individualized evidence.
Plaintiffsâ expert, John C. Beyer, Ph.D., offered an opinion purporting to show that âthere is common proof that can be used to demonstrate that the alleged conspiracy to raise prices, restrict output and allocate customers would have impacted all purchasers of hydrogen peroxide, sodium perborate, and sodium percarbonate.â Beyerâs âmarket analysisâ suggested that conditions in the hydrogen peroxide industry favored a conspiracy that would have impacted the entire class. First, hydrogen peroxide and persalts are fungible, undifferentiated commodity products, which means producers compete on price, not quality or other features. Second, production is heavily concentrated in a small group of manufacturers. 10 Third, *313 there are high barriers to entry in the industry and no close economic substitutes, preventing any competitors from entering the market and undercutting prices. Fourth, defendantsâ geographic markets overlapped, so that purchasers would have benefited from price competition if not for the alleged conspiracy.
Beyer also observed a âpricing structureâ in the hydrogen peroxide industry which, he contended, showed prices across producers, grades and concentrations of hydrogen peroxide, and end uses moved similarly overtime. 11 This, according to Beyer, suggested a conspiracy would have impacted all class members:
My analysis of the similarity in price movements over time indicates that hydrogen peroxide prices charged by different manufacturers are affected by the same market forces of supply and demand. ... These similarities in movement are sometimes referred to as âpricing structureâ or âstructure to prices.â This analysis confirms that prices would have behaved similarly, in a consistent and generalized manner[,] to a conspiracy to fix prices at artificially high levels [and] to restrict output or to allocate customers.
Beyer also pointed to coordinated increases in list prices by defendants as evidence of common impact.
Beyer identified two âpotential approachesâ to estimating damages on a class-wide basis: (1) benchmark analysis, which would compare actual prices during the alleged conspiracy with prices that existed before the class period; and (2) regression analysis, through which it âmay be possible ... to estimate the relationship between price of hydrogen peroxide, sodium perborate, and sodium percarbonate and the various market forces that influence prices, including demand and supply variables.â These methods, according to Beyer, could be used to estimate the prices plaintiffs would have faced but for the conspiracy. Beyer stated that âsufficient reliable dataâ exist to allow him to employ one or both of the potential approaches.
Defendants offered the opinion of their own expert economist, Janusz A. Ordover, Ph.D., to âprovide an independent expert assessment of whether certification of the proposed class of Plaintiffs is appropriate in this matter.â Specifically, Ordover set out to address âwhether, assuming a conspiracy of the kind described in the Complaint, the Plaintiffs will be able to show, through common proof, that all or virtually all of the members of the proposed class suffered economic injury caused by the alleged conspiracy.â Ordover also âopine[d] on whether a formulaic approach exists by which impact could be demonstrated and damages to the class could be reasonably calculated.â Ordover responded to and disputed many of Beyerâs opinions.
First, Ordover disputed Beyerâs finding that hydrogen peroxide and persalts are fungible, contending that the âvarious grades of hydrogen peroxide ... [and per-salts] have different supply characteristics and face different demand conditions. The existence of supply and demand characteristics that are specific to the various grades and uses requires individualized assessment of the impact of the alleged conspiracy at least across these different grades and uses. Consequently, a finding of class-wide impact from the alleged conspiracy cannot be inferred from the mere fact of the conspiracy and from common *314 evidence.â Second, Ordover alleged that, over the eleven-year proposed class period, âthe industry experienced prolonged periods of increasing capacity, increasing production, and an overall trend of declining real and nominal prices in the face of stable or increasing costs.â Ordover disputed Beyerâs pricing structure analysis, contending âthere is no tendency for prices charged to individual customers to move together, which indicates that the alleged conspiracy cannot be shown to have had class-wide impact,â necessitating individualized inquiries to determine whether a customer incurred impact.
Ordover also found some of defendantsâ price-increase announcements were ineffective- â -actual prices did not follow the purported announcements â suggesting list prices could not be used to measure antitrust impact on a basis common to the class. Ordover observed that a number of contracts for the sale of hydrogen peroxide were individually negotiated, with a variety of contract terms. And deposition testimony from named plaintiffs indicated list prices were sometimes disregarded. Ord-over opined that the statistical methods by which Beyer proposed to demonstrate common impact and damages were not feasible. Given the record of prices and output in the industry and the apparent influence of individualized factors on pricing, âclass-wide assessment of impact based on aggregate price information [was] impossible,â "and any formulaic approach to determine a set of âbut-for pricesâ would have to incorporate a multitude of different âvariables,â defeating any reasonable notion of proof common to the class.
Significantly, Ordover presented empirical analysis of the data on individual sales transactions and found that different customers purchasing the two most common grades and three most common concentrations from the same hydrogen peroxide producer in a given year were as likely to experience a decline in actual prices over the year as an increase, while other similarly situated customers experienced no change in price. Defendants contend this disparity goes to the core of the predominance issue â plaintiffs and their expert, Beyer, failed to âexplain ... how or which common proof could be used to determine that the alleged conspiracy impacted customers whose prices declined, as well as customers whose prices increased or stayed the same, over the same time period.â 12 Br. of Appellant at 5. Beyer, according to defendants, only âpromisedâ to come up with a method to overcome this obstacle, without showing or even suggesting how it might be done. Defendants contend the market analysis is âgenericâ and note it would apply equally to a large number of industries. With- respect to the pricing structure analysis, they contend Beyerâs use of average prices, rather than those of individual transactions, to show pricing structure, was erroneous because it glossed over differences in actual prices. The theme of defendantsâ argument is that the data, which Ordover analyzed, rebut Beyerâs âtheoryâ that common proof was feasible. Beyerâs and Ordoverâs analyses are irreconcilable.
In addition to presenting Ordoverâs testimony, defendants moved to exclude Beyerâs testimony as unreliable, citing Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 *315 (1993). 13 The District Court denied the Daubert motion in its memorandum and order certifying the class.
C.
The District Court concluded the predominance requirement was met. It held that â[ejither [Beyerâs] market analysis or the pricing structure analysis would likely be independently sufficient at this stage. Plaintiffs and Dr. Beyer have provided us with both. Despite defendantsâ claims to the contrary, we should require no more of plaintiffs in a motion for class certification.â Because hydrogen peroxide is fungible, the court found, âpurchasing decisions [are] made primarily on the basis of price rather than quality or specific properties,â and âprice is by far the most significant means of competition among producers and an agreement to control prices will seriously hinder competition.â The court rejected defendantsâ objection that different grades and concentrations of hydrogen peroxide called into question its fungibility. The prices of the grades and concentrations were related to each other, so in the view of the court, the differences would not preclude common proof of antitrust impact. Defendantsâ high combined market share meant that âno competitor who was not a member of the conspiracy would be able to take up the slack and keep prices stable.â The high barriers to entry and lack of economic substitutes implied âa conspiracy such as the one alleged here [could] continue indefinitely with limited risk that a new competitor would enter the market and undercut the agreed-upon prices.â Also, the court accepted Beyerâs opinion that âprices in the hydrogen peroxide industry moved similarly over time and the industry exhibited structure in pricing.â The court added that it believed âplaintiffs would be able to show antitrust impact on all purchasers merely by showing that defendants kept list prices that were artificially high because of their conspiracy.â
The District Court held that it was sufficient that Beyer proposed reliable methods for proving impact and damages; it did not matter that Beyer had not completed any benchmark or regression analyses, and the court would not require plaintiffs to show at the certification stage that either method would work.
IV.
A.
Defendants contend the District Court applied too lenient a standard of proof with respect to the Rule 23 requirements by (1) accepting only a âthreshold showingâ by plaintiffs rather than making its own determination, (2) requiring only that plaintiffs demonstrate their âintentionâ to prove impact on a class-wide basis, and (3) singling out antitrust actions as appropriate for class treatment even when compliance with Rule 23 is âin doubt.â
Although it is clear that the party seeking certification must convince the district *316 court that the requirements of Rule 23 are met, little guidance is available on the subject of the proper standard of âproofâ for class certification. 14 The Supreme Court has described the inquiry as a ârigorous analysis,â Falcon, 457 U.S. at 161, 102 S.Ct. 2364, and a âclose look,â Amchem, 521 U.S. at 615, 117 S.Ct. 2231, but it has elaborated no further.
1.
The following principles guide a district courtâs class certification analysis. First, the requirements set out in Rule 23 are not mere pleading rules. Szabo, 249 F.3d at 675-77. The court may â âdelve beyond the pleadings to determine whether the requirements for class certification are satisfied.â â Newton, 259 F.3d at 167 (quoting 5 James Wm. Moore et al., Mooreâs Federal Practice § 23.61[5]); see Beck, 457 F.3d at 297 (same); see also Johnston v. HBO Film Mgmt., Inc., 265 F.3d 178, 189 (3d Cir.2001) (district court properly âexamine[d] the factual record underlying plaintiffsâ allegations in making its certification decisionâ). 15
An overlap between a class certification requirement and the merits of a claim is no reason to decline to resolve relevant disputes when necessary to determine whether a class certification requirement is met. Some uncertainty ensued when the Supreme Court declared in Eisen v. Carlisle & Jacquelin, 417 U.S. 156, 177, 94 S.Ct. 2140, 40 L.Ed.2d 732 (1974), that there is ânothing in either the language or history of Rule 23 that gives a court any authority to conduct a preliminary inquiry into the merits of a suit in *317 order to determine whether it may be maintained as a class action.â Only a few years later, in addressing whether a party may bring an interlocutory appeal when a district court denies class certification, 16 the Supreme Court pointed out that âthe class determination generally involves considerations that are âenmeshed in the factual and legal issues comprising the plaintiffs cause of action.â â Livesay, 437 U.S. at 469, 98 S.Ct. 2454 (quoting Mercantile Natâl Bank v. Langdeau, 371 U.S. 555, 558, 83 S.Ct. 520, 9 L.Ed.2d 523 (1963)). As we explained in Newton, 259 F.3d at 166-69, Eisen is best understood to preclude only a merits inquiry that is not necessary to determine a Rule 23 requirement. Other courts of appeals have agreed. 17 Because the decision whether to certify a class ârequires a thorough examination of the factual and legal allegations,â id. at 166, the courtâs rigorous analysis may include a âpreliminary inquiry into the merits,â id. at 168, and the court may âconsider the substantive elements of the plaintiffsâ case in order to envision the form that a trial on those issues would take,â id. at 166 (quot *318 ing 5 Mooreâs Federal Practice § 23.46[4]) (quotation marks omitted). See id. at 168 (âIn reviewing a motion for class certification, a preliminary inquiry into the merits is sometimes necessary to determine whether the alleged claims can be properly resolved as a class action.â). 18 A contested requirement is not forfeited in favor of the party seeking, certification merely because it is similar or even identical to one normally decided by a trier of fact. Although the district courtâs findings for the purpose of class certification are conclusive on that topic, they do not bind the fact-finder on the merits. 19
The evidence and arguments a district court considers in the class certification decision call for rigorous analysis. A partyâs assurance to the court that it intends or plans to meet the requirements is insufficient. See id. at 191 (â[W]here the court finds, on the basis of substantial evidence as here, that there are serious problems now appearing, it should not certify the class merely on the assurance of counsel that some solution will be found.â) (quoting Windham v. Am. Brands, Inc., 565 F.2d 59, 70 (4th Cir.1977)) (quotation marks omitted); Wachtel v. Guardian Life Ins. Co., 453 F.3d 179, 184, 186 (3d Cir.2006) (the requirement that a district court include in its class certification order âa clear and complete summary of those claims, issues, or defenses subject to class treatmentâ provides for the âfull and clear articulation of the litigationâs contours at the time of class certificationâ).
Support for our analysis is drawn from amendments to Rule 23 that took effect in 2003. First, amended Rule 23(c)(1)(A) altered the timing requirement for the class certification decision. The amended rule calls for a decision on class certification â[a]t an early practicable time after a person sues or is sued as a class representative,â while the prior version had required that decision be made âas soon as practicable after commencement of an action.â We recognized in Weiss v. Regal Collections, 385 F.3d 337, 347 (3d Cir.2004), that this change in language, though subtle, reflects the need for a thorough evaluation of the Rule 23 factors â for this reason the rule does not ârequire or encourage premature certification determinations.â We explained:
Fed.R.Civ.P. 23 directs that certification decisions be made âat an early practicable time.â Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(c)(1)(a). This recent amendment replaced the language of the old rule: The former â âas soon as practicableâ exaction neither reflected] prevailing practice nor *319 eapture[ed] the many valid reasons that may justify deferring the initial certification decision.â See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(c)(1)(a) Advisory Committee Notes....
Allowing time for limited discovery supporting certification motions may ... be necessary for sound judicial administration. See [Newton, 259 F.3d at 166] (â[I]t may be necessary for the Court to probe behind the pleadings before coming to rest on the certification question.â) (quoting [Falcon, 457 U.S. at 160, 102 S.Ct. 2364])....
Id. at 347-48 n. 17; see Gariety, 368 F.3d at 365 (noting the change). 20 Relatedly, in introducing the concept of a âtrial plan,â the Advisory Committeeâs 2003 note focuses attention on a rigorous evaluation of the likely shape of a trial on the issues:
A critical need is to determine how the case will be tried. An increasing number of courts require a party requesting class certification to present a âtrial planâ that describes the issues likely to be presented at trial and tests whether they are susceptible of class-wide proof.
Fed.R.Civ.P. 23 advisory committe