MEMORANDUM OPINION
Lewis A. Kaplan, District Judge.
This matter is before the Court on trueEXâs and truePTSâs (collectively, âplaintiffsâ) motion for a preliminary injunction to prevent MarkitSERV Limited and MarkitSERV, LLC (collectively, âMarkitSERVâ) from barring plaintiffsâ ac*709cess to certain of MarkitSERVâs technology and software.
Facts
This case centers around a businessârelationship between two entities operating in the world of interest rate swaps (âIRSâ), a type of financial derivative.
I. The Swaps Here at Issue
A. The Basics
The term'âderivative,â as it is used in todayâs financial world, refers to a financial instrument that derives its value from the price of an underlying instrument or index. Among the different types of derivatives are swaps, instruments whereby two coun-terparties agree to exchange cash, flows on two financial instruments over a specific period of time.1 These are (1) a âreference obligationâ or âunderlying assetâ such as a security, a bank loan, or an index, and (2) a benchmark loan, generally with an interest rate set relative to a commonly used reference rate such as the London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (âLIBORâ).2
B. Interest Rate Simps
An IRS is a particular form of swap.3 Typically, it âis a transaction between two counterparties in which one stream of future interest payments [on a notional debt obligation] is exchanged for anotherâ such stream on the same notional amount.4 Often, the counterparties in a swap transaction are a corporation, a bank or an investor on one side (the âbuy sideâ5) and an investment or commercial bank, or other financial institution, on the other side (the âdealerâ6).7 Additionally, there are many âdealer to dealerâ trades that do not involve buy-side customers.
In the most common type of IRS swap, Counterparty A pays a fixed interest rate to Counterparty B which, in return, pays a floating interest rate based on a benchmark such as LIBOR.8 For example, Counterparty A and Counterparty B enter into a five-year swap with the following terms: Counterparty A agrees to pay Counterparty B an amount equal to 6 percent per annum on a notional principal of $20 million, and Counterparty B agrees to pay Counterparty A an amount equal to one-year LIBOR plĂŒs 1 percent per an-num on the same notional principal amount. For simplicity, let us assume the counterparties exchange payments annually on December 31, beginning in 2017 and concluding in 2021. At the end of 2017, Counterparty A will pay Counterparty B $1,200,000 (ie., $20,000,000 x 6 percent). Let us assume further that on December 31, 2016, one-year LIBOR was 5.33 percent. At the end of 2017, then, Counterparty B will pay Counterparty A $1,266,000 (ie., $20,000,000 x (5.33 percent -I- 1 percent)). Nor are âfixed for floatingâ IRS the only varieties. There are many others.
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II. The Impact of Dodd-Frank
Until the enactment of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 (âDodd-Frankâ), IRS traded in unregulated over-the-counter (âOTCâ) markets. Most IRS were traded on a bilateral, principal-to-principal basis with the ultimate counterparty being the entity with which the trade was executed. Many trades were intermediated by brokers. Dodd-Frank, however, introduced new regulatory requirements with the goal of increasing transparency in the OTC derivatives markets.
A. Swap Execution Facilities
In Dodd-Frank, Congress mandated that certain IRS trade only on platforms called swap execution facilities (âSEFsâ).9 In response, many trade execution platforms sought to and did register as SEFs in order to. fill the new role created by Dodd-Frank. An SEF is a trading platform regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that provides pre-trade information (Âża, bids and offers) and an execution mechanism for swap transactions. A buy-side participant can use an SEF to transmit to multiple dealers on the platform requests for quotes of offers to sell IRS having particular terms. If the buy-side participant finds a willing dealer, the SEF provides a mechanism for the parties to execute their trade. There are three major SEFs that deal in IRS: Tra-deWeb, Bloomberg, and trueEX.10
Dodd-Frank requires that IRS that must be traded on SEFs be âcleared,â i.e., âsubmitted to a central counterparty clearinghouse that functions as an intermediary between buyer and seller to reconcile transactions and reduce risk.â11 In a cleared transaction, a clearinghouse steps between the counterparties â effectively becoming the buyer to the original seller and the seller to the original buyer. It processes the transaction, guarantees completion, and remains a part of the trade throughout its life cycle.12 In the United States, the major clearinghouses are CME Group and London Clearing House.
Dodd-Frank requires also that SEFs report trade pricing and volume information to swap data repositories (âSDRsâ), which provide central facilities for swap data reporting and recordkeeping.13 SDRs enable market participants to see trading data for all executed trades, which promotes transparency in the market. The largest SDR in the United States is the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (âDTCCâ).
B. Trade Processing
After two counterparties agree upon an IRS trade that is required to be cleared, details about that trade must be reported to four entities in compliance with Dodd-Frank: the clearinghouse that clears the trade, the two counterparties to the trade, and the SDR. Completion of that reporting is a key aspect of a process known as trade processing.14 In addition to reporting IRS trades to clearinghouses and SDRs, trade processing encompasses such tasks as âmatching ... buyer and seller records, *711confirming the terms of trades, allocating aggregated trades among a clientâs different sub-accounts, and managing other life-cycle events such as trade amendments, assignments, and payments.â15 The large majority of IRS post-trade processing is handled by MarkitSERV.
Ill MarkitSERV
MarkitSERV is an electronic trade confirmation network for OTC derivatives.16 It provides trade processing for âOTC derivative transactions across all major asset classes, including credit, equity, foreign exchange and interest rates products, including [IRS].â17 MarkitSERV does not, however, offer trade execution services.18 Rather, parties execute OTC derivative trades on other platforms, such as SEFs, and those platforms in turn send the transaction details to MarkitSERV for trade processing.19 MarkitSERVâs clients include âasset managers, hedge funds, pension funds, fund administrators, dealers and inter-dealer brokers, prime brokers and futures commissions merchants,â as well as clearinghouses, six reporting agencies, and thirteen SEFs.20
A. Formation of MarkitSERV
MarkitSERVs predecessor, SwapsWire Limited, was formed in 2000 by a consortium of leading dealer banks as an electronic trade confirmation network for the OTC derivatives market.21 The dealers made significant investments in the network infrastructure to enable their systems to communicate with SwapsWire. In 2008, IHS Markit (âMarkitâ), a global information and services company, acquired SwapsWire and renamed it MarkitWire.22 In 2009, Markit and DTCC âcombined MarkitWire and DTCCâs Deriv/SERV business to form a joint venture called MarkitSERV to provide OTC derivative trade processing.â23 Four years later, Markit purchased DTCCâs share of the joint venture.
B. MarkitSERVâs Dominant Market Position
MarkitSERV is the sole provider of IRS trade processing for (1) IRS transactions between dealers, (2) cleared, direct trades that are not required to be traded on SEFs, and (3) uncleared swaps (a limited category of IRS that need not be cleared).24 Together, those three categories âmake up approximately 92% of the overall IRS market, based on the notional values of trades.â25
MarkitSERV concedes for this motion only that IRS trade processing is a relevant market for antitrust purposes26 Its market share is depicted in Figure 1.
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ThĂ© only transactions for which Markit-SERV does- not control every step of post-trade processing are trades between dealers and buy-side customers that are executed on the SEFs operated by Bloom-berg, TradeWeb, and trueEX.27 Even for trades executed on SEFs, however, most market participants rely on MarkitSERVâs trade processing method (discussed below) to ensure that their books and records are accurate and up-to-date.
C. How MarkitSERV Processes Trades
When customers choose MarkitSERV to perform trade processing, MarkitSERV âwill simultaneously submit the trade to the clearinghouse for intermediation, to the two counterparties!!,] and to the SDR using an automated workflow- called âstraight-through-processingâ
[ (âSTPâ) ].â28 In order to process trades using STP, MarkitSERV has established direct communication lines to and application program interfaces (âAPIsâ)29 with its customers to facilitate âreal-time updates of market participantsâ books and records.â 30 STP ensuiâes that market partici*713pantsâ books and records âreflect current financial and risk exposures.â31 For that reason, âSTP facilitation is vital to dealers and buy-side clients.â32 Over the fourteen years MarkitSERV has existed, it has set up some manner of direct connection to âhundreds of dealers and close to 2,000 buy side customers.â33
In addition to its . own trade-processing services, MarkitSERV facilitates SEFsâ trade processing through a âdrop copyâ workflow. For example, if a customer executes a trade on an SEF, it' in some circumstances may elect to have the SEF process that trade too. When the customer chooses -to use the SEF for trade processing, the SEF âdelivers the trade details directly to the clearinghouse and SDR, and simultaneously gives (or âdropsâ) a copy of the trade to MarkitSERV, which then uses its network to redistribute the trade confirmation to the counterparties.â34 Utilizing MarkitSERVâs drop-copy service allows the SEF to process trades.executed on its platform using STP without having to invest in its own direct communication lines â at least with respect to customers that already are connected to Markit-SERVâs network.
TV. trueEXâs Relationship with Markit-SERV
A. The Broker Terms Agreement
As discussed above, trueEX is an SEF for IRS trades that has been active since April 2014. In addition to trade execution, trueEX provides certain post-trade processing services to its clients. Like the other IRS SEFs, however, trueEX does not have direct communication lines to all of the entities that trade on its platform. Thus, in order to process trades using STP for clients with which it does not have a direct connection, trueEX requires electronic access to those clientsâ books and records through other means.
trueEX approached MarkitSERV to solve this STP connectivity problem. In due course, the parties entered into a contract, referred to as the Broker Terms Agreement (âBTAâ),35 in which Markit-SERV agreed, among other things, to provide drop-copy service to trueEX. trueEX utilizes MarkitSERVâs drop-copy workflow in a similar manner to the other SEFs, TradeWeb and Bloomberg â when two counterparties execute a trade on trueEX, trueEX submits' the trade details directly to the clearinghouse and SDR and simultaneously drops a copy of the trade to Mark-itSERV for redistribution to the counter-parties. Unlike TradeWeb and Bloomberg, however, trueEX does not give its customers a choice in terms of trade processing. In other words, 'any customer that- uses trueEX to execute its IRS- trades also must use trueEX to process those trades.36
In cases where trueEX has built a communication pipeline to and has an APĂ with a trader, trueEX does not need to rely on MarkitSERVâs network for STP.37 âOnly if there is no pipeline' to the trader does [tJrueEX rely on MarkitSERVâs network to fill that gap and provide a âdrop copy to the customer.â38
B. trueEXâs Development oftruePTS
In December 2015, trueEX announced that it was working on a new IRS trade processing business.39 trueEXâs chief exec*714utive officer, Sunil Hirani, launched this new venture â truePTSâin June 2016.40 truePTS âseeks to process trades other than, or in addition to, trades executed on the [t]rueEX SEF,â including trades that ĂĄre not permitted by law to be executed on SEFs.41 According to Mr. Hirani, âtruePTS will offer the same IRS trade processing services as MarkitSERV, but at a substantially lower rate and with faster and more innovative technology.â42 Between August 2016 and April 2017, truePTS met with thirty-five different participants in IRS trading to discuss truePTSâs purpose, functionality, and competitive advantage over MarkitSERV.
truePTS now âis still in the developmental stage.â43 It is a sister company of trueEX and is âentirely supported byâ it.44 trueEX provides truePTS with all of its funding, staffing, and resources. According to plaintiffs, âtruePTS can and will develop its own network [for STP facilitation].â 45 But truePTS would have to rely on MarkitSERVâs drop-copy workflow to process its customersâ trades until it does. Accordingly, truePTS sought to enter into an agreement with MarkitSERV for STP facilitation on similar terms as trueEX.46 In January 2017, truePTS sent Markit-SERV a proposal outlining what such a relationship might look like.47 For the next two months, truePTS repeatedly inquired as to the status of the proposal. Although MarkitSERV informed truePTS that it was reviewing the request internally, MarkitSERV never provided a definitive response.48
C. MarkitSERV Terminates the BTA
Meanwhile, MarkitSERV concluded that trueEX âwas seeking a fundamental shift in the nature of [their] relationship in order to facilitate the development of its new business,â truePTS.49 In MarkitSERVâs view, trueEX âsought to create a situation in which [t]ruePTS, acting through [t]rueEXâs relationship with MarkitSERV, could use MarkitSERVâs processing network to offer its own, competing trade processing serviceâ â without making the financial and technical expenditures Mark-itSERV did.50 MarkitSERV feared that truePTS thus could undercut Markit-SERVâs pricing and appeal to customers by offering a lower price point.51 To prevent trueEX from âleveraging] its relationship with MarkitSERV for the benefit of its new competing businessâ â and, in turn, to thwart the competitive threat posed by truePTS â MarkitSERV notified trueEX that it was terminating the BTA effective May 14, 2017.52
Needless to say, plaintiffs dispute Mark-itSERVâs characterization of the events leading to the termination of the BTA. In their view, MarkitSERVâs termination was *715âa transparent effort to choke off ... competition and preserve its monopoly.â53 In any event, the parties negotiated over the next several weeks the future of their business relationship. During one of those sessions, MarkitSERV proposed new terms for its relationship with trueEX: Markit-SERV would give trueEX the option either to use trueEXâs own network for processing a trade or have the trade submitted to MarkitSERVâs âstandard workflow.â54 In other words, for trades involving counter-parties with which trueEX has direct connections, trueEX would be able to process the trade. In contrast, for trades involving counterparties with which trueEX does not have direct connections, trueEX could execute the trade but MarkitSERV would be the one to process it.55 trueEX was not interested in that offer.
During another meeting, according to Mr. Hirani, MarkitSERVâs chief executive officer, Brad Levy, assured trueEX that it would not cut off trueEXâs STP connectivity on May 14, 2017, the date the termination of the BTA was to go into effect.56 However, it became clear on May 5, 2017, that MarkitSERV would agree to provide trueEX STP connectivity only on a day-by-day basis.57 According to Mr. Hirani, âMr. Levy made it clear that MarkitSERV would not rescind its termination of theâ BTA.58
After the parties were unable to reach a new agreement, MarkitSERV, on May 8, 2017, âadvised approximately 19 customers that [it was] terminating [its] relationship with [t]rueEX as of May 15â59 â which, according to Mr. Hirani, âsow[ed] confusion and uncertaintyâ among trueEXâs clients about the possible loss of STP connectivity.60
D. Threatened Impact of Termination on Plaintiffs
1. trueEX
true EX asserts that it âcannot survive as a business without connectivity to MarkitSERVâs network.â61 It claims that any dealer or buy-side client that uses MarkitSERV for STP will leave the trueEX platform if trueEX loses the ability to send drop-copy reports to Markit-SERV. Moreover, it contends, âthe loss of drop-copy would ... cause the dealers that provide liquidity to the trueEX platform to abandon trueEX .... An exodus of dealers would drain all liquidity from trueEX. And without that liquidity, trueEX simply could not function as a trading platform.â 62 According to Mr. Hirani, â[existing dealers have already indicated that they are rethinking their relationship with trueEX.â63
*716The actual extent of trueEXâs reliance on MarkitSERV for STP facilitation is hotly contested by the parties. According to MarkitSERV, âonly 20 customers â twelve dealers and eight buy side customers used MarkitSERVs trade processing network for [t]rueEX-executed trades in 2017.[64] And only 21 customers â Ă3. dealers and 8 buy side firms â did,so in 2016 .65 Based on data reported for 2016, Markit-SERV estimates that 58 percent of the notional value of all trueEX trades in U.S. dollar-denominated IRS bypassed Markit-SERV entirely. In MarkitSERVs view, then, the data demonstrate that trueEX âconducted a significant portion of [its] business in 2016 without any MarkitSERV involvement, [which] contradicts [t]rueEXâs position that MarkitSERV services ânearly every transaction in the IRS market.â â66
Additionally, MarkitSERV asserts that â[i]n insisting that it is dependent on MarkitSERVs network, [t]rueEX both understates the investment MarkitSERV has made in building its communications network and overstates the burden [trueEX] faces in building connectivity to the remaining dealers for whom it uses Markit-SERVâs drop copy function.â67 Markit-SERV or its predecessors allegedly âhave spent hundreds of millions of dollars to install, maintain and updateâ its communications network.68 As for completing connectivity, MarkitSERV contends that if trueEX were to âbuild connections to the 10 dealers for whom it currently relies upon MarkitSERV for drop copy services, its network would cover all of its dealer customers and 90% of its buy side customers.â69 In MarkitSERVs experience, it claims, the process of onboarding customers and setting up a direct communication line to the customerâs facility âtakes approximately eight to twelve weeks.â70 Thus, in a matter of weeks, MarkitSERV suggests, trueEX could âcompletely displace MarkitSERV from the [t]rueEX ecosystem.â 71
trueEX claims that MarkitSERV âmisrepresents and understates the importance of drop-copy to trueEXâs business.â72 According to trueEX, it presently has
â105 clients that have agreements in place to trade on trueEXâs platform: 24 dealers and 81 buy-side clients. With respect to dealers:
âa. Of the 24 dealers that have signed up with trueEX, all but three, or 88%, require Markit-SERV connectivity for transactions in at least one currency.
âb. Of those 24 dealers, 22 have been âonboardedâ to the trueEX platform, and 14 have traded in 2017. All- but three of those 14 dealers, or 79%, have engaged in trades â that required a drop-copy to MarkitSERVs network.
âWith respect to ' trueEXâs buy-side clients:
âa. Of the 81 buy-side participants who have signed up with trueEX, 41, or 51%, require MarkitSERV *717connectivity for transactions in at least one currency.
âb. Of those' 81 buy-side clients, there are 71 that have been on-boarded to the trueEX platform, and 22 that have traded on the trueEX platform in 2017. Nine of those 22 clients, or 41%, have engaged in trades that required a drop-copy to MarkitSERVâs network.â73
Thus, in trueEXâs yiew, the data strongly support the conclusion that trueEX cannot survive without drop-copy service because the majority of its clients rely on Markit-SERV for STP. Mr. Hirani asserts too that even if some percentage of its buy-side clients do not use MarkitSERV for STP,
â[grading on a SEF that does not have the ability to provide drop-copy functionality for trades to MarkitSERVâs network is a non-starter for an enormous number of entities that trade IRS, including virtually the entire community of dealers (one of which [is] on at least one side of every trade). Regardless of whether it needs MarkitSERVâs STP to maintain its own books and records, no rational buy-side participant would choose to trade on a SEF that is completely cut off from the vast majority of the IRS market, and therefore lacks the liquidity and efficiency that participants expect and demand from a SEF,â74
As for MarkitSERVâs suggestion that trueEX can simply finish building out fits STP network, trueEX maintains that âestablishing STP connectivity with a client is a complex and burdensome process,â75 In trueEXâs experience, it claims, the process âon average takes 17 months per participantâ â quite a bit longer than Markit-SERV suggests.76 Thus, it would be unrealistic to think trueEX could âflip a switch and build an STP network connecting its entire client base ... in a matter of weeks.â77
2. truePTS
The threat to truePTS is far simpler. Mr. Hirani contends that âMarkitSERVâs refusal to provide STP connectivity to truePTS will kill truePTS before it gets off the ground.â78 If trueEX shuts down, truePTS will fail as well because it ârelies on trueEX for all of its staffing, support, and funding.â79
V. The Present Litigation
â Plaintiffs filed this action in response to MarkitSERVâs May 8 announcement. trueEX and truePTS each assert claims for monopolization and attempted monopolization under Section 2. of the Sherman Act, while trueEX alone asserts also. a claim for promissory estoppel under New York law.80 The Court has set an expedited schedule for the matter, with a trial on the merits to take place in March 2018.
Pursuant to a standstill agreement the parties entered into on May 10, 2017, the effective date of the BTA is tolled until July 24, 2017.81 Once the agreement is *718terminated, however, MarkitSERV will be free to cut off trueEXâs access to its STP network. Plaintiffs have moved the Court for a preliminary injunction that would preserve the status quo â i.e., the BTA would remain in effect until trial. Plaintiffs contend that, without the Courtâs intervention, trueEX will go out of business before it has its day in court, a harm for which it could not adequately be compensated. And without trueEXâs support, truePTS âwill die on the vine before it can become a viable business.â82
Discussion
Section 16 of the Clayton Act provides that a party may obtain injunctive relief âagainst threatened loss or damage by a violation of the antitrust laws.â83 For a preliminary injunction to issue, the mov-ant must establish â(1) âirreparable harmâ; (2) âeither (a) a likelihood of success on the merits, or (b) sufficiently serious questions going to the merits of its claims to make them fair ground for litigation, plus a balance of the hardships tipping decidedly in favor of the moving party; and (3) âthat a preliminary injunction is in the public interest.â â84
I. Likelihood of Success on the Merits
A. The Monopolization Claim85
Section 2 of the Sherman Act provides that it is unlawful to âmonopolize, or attempt to monopolize ... any part of the trade or commerce among the several States, or with foreign nations.â86 â[T]his offense requires, in addition to the possession of monopoly power in the relevant market, âthe willful acquisition or maintenance of that power as distinguished from growth or development as a consequence of a superior product, business acumen, or historic accident.â â87 Importantly, âthe possession of monopoly power will not be found unlawful unless it is accompanied by an element of anticompetitive conduct.â88 â[A]nticompetitive conduct is âconduct without a legitimate business purpose that makes sense only because it eliminates competition.â â89
For purposes of this motion, Markit-SERV concedes that IRS post-trade processing is a relevant market and that it has monopoly power in that market.90 Accordingly, the Court turns to the question of whether plaintiffs are likely to prevail on their claim that MarkitSERV engaged in anticompetitive conduct to maintain that monopoly power. Specifically, plaintiffs as*719sert that MarkitSERV violated Section 2 in two ways: (1) it refused to deal with them and (2) it denied them access to an essential facility â i. e., MarkitSERVs STP network.
1. Refusal to Deal
â[A]s a general matter, the Sherman Act âdoes not restrict the long recognized right of [a] trader or manufacturer engaged in an entirely private business, freely to exercise his own independent discretion as to parties with whom he will deal.ââ91 However, â[t]he high value that we have placed on the right to refuse to deal with other firms does not mean that the right is unqualified.â92 âUnder certain circumstances, a refusal to cooperate with rivals can constitute anticompetitive conduct and violate § 2.â93 The Supreme Court, though, has been âvery cautious in recognizing such exceptions [to the right to refuse to deal], because of the uncertain virtue of forced sharing and the difficulty of identifying and remedying anticompeti-tive conduct by a single firm.â94 The Second Circuit has characterized that caution as meaning that âthe sole exception to the broad right of a firm to refuse to deal with its competitors comes into play only when a monopolist seeks to terminate a prior (voluntary) course of dealing with a competitor.â 95
That exception is rooted in two Supreme Court cases: Aspen Skiing Co. v. Aspen Highlands Skiing Corp. and Verizon Communications Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP. In Trinko, the Supreme Court summarized Aspen Skiing, which it called the âleading case for § 2 liability based on refusal to cooperate with a rival,â as follows:
âThe Aspen ski area consisted of four mountain areas. The defendant, who owned three of those areas, and the plaintiff, who owned the fourth, had cooperated for years in the issuance of a joint, multiple-day, all-area ski ticket. After repeatedly demanding an increased share of the proceeds, the defendant canceled the joint ticket. The plaintiff, concerned that skiers would bypass its mountain without some joint offering, tried a variety of increasingly desperate measures to re-create the joint ticket, even to the point of in effect offering to buy the defendantâs tickets at retail price. The defendant refused even that. We upheld a jury verdict for the plaintiff, reasoning that â[t]he jury may well have concluded that [the defendant] elected to forgo these short-run benefits because it was more interested in reduc-' ing competition ... over the long run by harming its smaller competitor.â â96
The Trinko Court noted, however, that âAspen Skiing is at or near the outer boundary of § 2 liability.â 97
While Trinko âdoes not purport to set out a âtest,â it usefully highlights the distinctions that made Aspen Skiing the rare case in which a refusal to deal amounted to a prohibited act of unilateral monopolization.â 98 First, the monopolist and plaintiff-*720competitor in Aspen Skiing had a preexisting âvoluntary (and thus presumably profitable) course of dealing.â99 Second, the prior course of dealing had âoriginated in a competitive market and had persisted for several years.â100 Third, the monopolistâs termination of the prior course of dealing âsuggested a willingness to forsake short-tÂżrm profits to achieve an anticom-petitive end.â101 Finally, âthe'defendantâs unwillingness to renew the ticket even if compensated at retail price revealed a distinctly anticompetitive bent.â102 Taken together, these facts led the jury to conclude that the defendantâs refusal to deal with its rival was âirrational but for its anticompet-itive effect.â103 The question for this Court to decide is whether the present case fits âwithin the limited exception recognized in Aspen Skiing.â104
At the outset, it is plain that truePTS on the present record is unlikely to succeed on its refusal to deal claim because it never has had any .business relationship with MarkitSERV. trueEX, however, stands in different shoes. Several key features of Aspen Skiing are present in its relationship with MarkitSERV.105
As in Aspen Skiing, MarkitSERV voluntarily has dealt with trueEX for several years. MarkitSERV nevertheless contends that âit is unlikely [it] made a profit at. all after- factoring the time and investment costs associated with providing drop copy service for [t]rueEX trades.â106 Markit-SERV admits, however, that it has not done a âcomprehensive calculation of the cost ... of providing drop copy services to [t]rueEX.â107 Without more, the Court declines to credit MarkitSERVâs speculation. Hence, despite MarkitSERVâs quibble about the profitability for it of that relationship, the Court finds that it has .been profitable for MarkitSERV to at least some extent, else it would not have continued the relationship.108 Moreover, trueEX *721offered MarkitSERV additional money to continue to provide the same services it had been providing under the BTA, but MarkitSERV âdismissed that proposal- out of handâ and claimed that the termination âha[d] nothing to do with economics.â â109 This Court finds, for purposes of this motion, that MarkitSERV was motivated,at least in material part by a desire to foreclose a competitive challenge to its dominant market position. This is not to say, however, that trueEX is in a position identical in all respĂ©cts to that of the Aspen Skiing plaintiff. Three distinctions stand out at first blush.
First, in Aspen Skiing, the joint ski ticket initially was introduced âwhen three independent companies operated three different ski mountainsâ and âcontinued to provide a desirable option for skiers when the market was enlarged to four mountains." 110 It was only after the defendant acquired monopoly power â and no'longer needed cooperation of its rival in' order to compete â that it decided to terminate the popular joint ticket.111 The Supreme Court, found significance in the fact that the partiesâ cooperative relationship originated in a competitive market because the defendantâs, decision to discontinue the popular joint ticket once it reached a dominant position â but not sooner â suggested an intention to exclude the plaintiff from the Aspen market âon some basis other than efficiency.â112
Here, in contrast to Aspen Skiing, the relationship between MarkitSERV and trueEX did not âoriginate in a competitive market.â113 Rather, it began at a time when MarkitSERV was, and always had been, the dominant player in the market. MarkitSERV had no need to cooperate with trueEX or any, other SEF in order to compete in IRS post-trade processing.
Although that fact distinguishes this case from Aspen Skiing, it is not legally significant, at least on the present record. The genesis of the cooperative relationship at- issue in a refusal to 'deal, case â ie., whether it originated in a competitive or monopolistic market â has evidentiary significance, if at all, only where it has probative value-with respect to the existence or absence of anticompetitiveâmotives. That is to say, in general, a new monopolistâs termination of a cooperative relationship that originated in a competitive market-is more likely to suggest anticompetitive motives than a'iong-time monopolistâs termination of a relationship that arose in a monopolistic market. But where, as here, evidence shows that the monopolist was motivated at least in material part by anticompetitive desirĂłs, any countervailing inference the Court might have drawn fromâ the fact that the cooperative relationship originated in a monopolistic market would be improbable.
Second, whereas the' monopolistâs termination of the joint ski- ticket in Aspen Skiing suggested a willingness to sacrifice short-term profits, MarkitSERVâs termination of the BTA is more equivocal on the present record. To be sure, MarkitSERV stands to lose the fees trueEX pays for drop-copy service. But it perhaps stands also to gain business from trueEX customers that might migrate away from trueEX and to MarkitSERV for trade processing because of its STP network.114 In other words, MarkitSERVâs decision to terminate the BTA may be consistent also with *722âa desire to maximize the companyâs immediate and overall profits.â115 But the record on this point remains to be developed.
Third, unlike the monopolist in Aspen Skiing, MarkitSERV asserts that it had at least one legitimate business reason for discontinuing the provision of drop-copy service to trueEX â preventing trueEX from permitting truePTS to access Markit-SERVâs network without MarkitSERVâs permission.116 It characterizes its action as being motivated by a desire to protect itself from âfree-riding,â which in proper circumstances may be an appropriate motive.117 But the term âfree-ridingâ fundamentally is a pejorative characterization that is applied to oneâs helping oneâs self to a service provided by another without paying for it. In the circumstances here, it presupposes that the BTA â pursuant to which MarkitSERV has been providing services, including the drop-copy service, to trueEX for several years â forecloses trueEX from providing that access to its sister company, truePTS. If the BTA does not do so, then MarkitSERVâs claim that trueEX is facilitating truePTSâs âfree-ridingâ on MarkitSERVâs network is empty rhetoric, as trueEX pays for that service. So the Court turns to that issue.
During the argument of the motion, the Court asked counsel for MarkitSERV to identify the provision or provisions of the BTA that limit what trueEX may do with its access to the MarkitSERV network. Although counsel directed the Courtâs attention to certain defined terms in the BTA, none answered the question definitively.118 Thus, the BTA, even viewed in the light most favorable to MarkitSERV, is not clear on this point.119
When a contract is ambiguous, the Court may consider extrinsic evidence to aid in its interpretation.120 There is some evidence of record that ultimately may support MarkitSERVâs interpretation. The fact that truePTS sought repeatedly to contract with MarkitSERV for STP facilitation on terms similar to trueEX suggests that plaintiffs, or at least some of their personnel, understood the BTA as providing network access only to trueEX. trueEX did not dispute MarkitSERVs characterization of the BTA during the hearing. Nevertheless, the interpretation of the BTA ultimately is a question of fact for trial. Moreover, as Aspen Skiing recognized, so too is the question whether MarkitSERVâs purported business justification for terminating trueEX was legitimate, i.e., economically rational. In sum, the question whether MarketSERV can justify its termination of trueEX as a legitimate response to threatened âfree-ridingâ on its network presents serious questions that are fair grounds for litigation.
While it is debatable on this record whether trueEX has shown that it is likely *723to succeed on the merits at' trial, trueEX has sustained its burden of raising serious questions going to the merits that provide fair grounds for litigation. â On the one hand, trueEX presented evidence from which a factfinder could infer that Markit-SERV terminated the BTA for anticom-petitive purposes. On the other hand, MarkitSERV adduced evidence that its decision may have furthered a legitimate business purpose. âAlthough this issue cannot be finally decided until discovery is completed and the court has the benefit of a full factual presentation,â trueEX has satisfied its burden at this preliminary stage.121
The foregoing is sufficient to resolve the likelihood-of-success prong of the preliminary injunction standard. Nevertheless, prudence suggests that the Court rule also on plaintiffsâ likelihood of success on their other antitrust and quasi-contractual claims.
2. Essential Facilities
Plaintiffs contend that MarMt-SERVâs STP network is a facility essential to competition in the IRS post-trade processing market and that MarkitSERVâs denial of access to it violates Section 2. To bring a successful Section 2 essential facilities claim, a plaintiff must prove: â(1) control of the essential facility by a monopolist; (2) a competitorâs inability practically or reasonably to duplicate the essential facility; (3) the 'denial of the use of the facility to a competitor; and (4) the feasibility of providing the facility.â122 â
Here, plaintiffs contend that (1) Mark-itSERV âhas Ă©xclusive control over the drop-copy STP function, which is essential to any SEF seeking to provide IRS trade processing servicesâ; (2) âit is impossible for trueEX and truePTS to âpractically or reasonably duplicate the provision of connectivity' to MarkitSERV clientsâ because â[duplicating Markit-SERVâs STP infrastructure would require a massive investment of time and money, m'aking it impractical (and unprofitable) from a business standpointâ; (3) âMarkit-SERV is acting to deny trueEX and truePTS access to and use of this essential facilityâ; and (4) âpast practice demonstrates that it is feasible for Markit-SERV to provide STP connectivity.â123
As an initial matter, the continued viability of the essential facilities doctrine has been called into question in recent years.124 A plaintiff seeking to recover on an essential facility claim âmust show more than inconvenience, or even some economic loss; [it] must show that an alternative to the facility is not feasible.â125
The fact that trueEX has built direct connections to or otherwise managĂ©d to process trades for three of its fourteen active dealers and thirteen of its twenty-two active buy-side clients seriously under*724mines its claim that MarkitSERVâs STP network is essential. Indeed, for the first quarter of 2017, roughly forty percent of trueEX trades bypassed MarkitSERV entirely, meaning that trueEX successfully processed those trades without relying on MarkitSERVâs STP network.126 As for truePTS, plaintiffs admit that it âcan and will develop its own networkâ if it has an opportunity to get off the ground.127 To be sure, it will take time and money for truePTS to do so. Nevertheless, in view of their admission, plaintiffs cannot credibly claim'' that âit is impossible for ,,. truePTS to âpractically or reasonably* duplicateâ MarkitSERVâs network in due course.128
Moreover, trueEX has not adequately shown for purposes of this claim that it was denied access to MarkitSERVâs STP network, â[T]he indispensable requirement for invoking the [essential facilities] doctrine is the unavailability of access to the âessential facilitiesâ; where access exists, the doctrine serves ho purpose.â129 It is undisputed that MarkitSERV offered trueEX access to its STP network via its so-called standard workflow. Under Mark-itSERVâs proposal, trueEX would have retained the ability to process IRS trades involving parties with which it has a direct connection (or parties that do not require STP) and, where it does not, MarkitSERV would have processed the trade on its network. .In other words, MarkitSERVâs proposal, had it been. accepted, would have given trueEX access to MarkitSERVâs STP network and allowed trueEX to continue to, compete in- the IRS trade processing market. âBecause reasonable access to the essential facility exist[ed] â even if not in a way that [wa]s conducive to [trueEXâs] existing business model â [trueEX] cannot establish an essential facilities claim.â130
B. Promissory Estoppel
âIn New York, promissory es-toppel has three elements: âa clear and unambiguous promise; a reasonable and foreseeable reliance by the party to whom the promise is made, and an injury sustained by the party asserting the estoppel by reason of the reliance.ââ131 trueEX claims that (1) MarkitSERV âunambiguously promisedâ not to cut off drop-copy functionality after terminating the BTA, (2) it reasonably relied on MarkitSERVâs assurance because the parties had worked cooperatively for over five years, and (3) it was injured as a result of being lulled into not bringing suit for three days because MarkitSERV in that time issued a notice of termination to trueEXâs clients that caused those clients to be concerned about potential disruption of service. The Court is not persuaded that trueEX is likely to succeed on this claim for two reasons.
First, an essential element of a promis? sory estoppel claim is that the promiseeâ *725here, trueEX â âsubstantially] change[d]â its position âin reasonable reliance upon the promise.â132 trueEX fails entirely to show how this requirement is satisfied.
Second, trueEXâs showing with respect to injury is inadequate. It contends that but for MarkitSERVâs promise it âwould have sought judicial relief sooner, seeking to enjoin MarkitSERV from further pursuing termination of the [BTA],â133 But despite the three-day delay, trueEX has done just that, and there is nothing to suggest that the short .delay prejudiced trueEX in any way. In fact, the parties have entered into a standstill agreement that preserves the status quo until July 24, 2017, thereby ensuring MarkitSERV does not âfurther pursu[e] terminationâ of its relationship with trueEX. While -trueEX contends also that it was injured by MarkitSERVâs termination notice; it does not claim that any of its clients actually abandoned it as a result, especially once they learned of the partiesâ standstill agreement.134 In other words, there is no evidence that its clientsâ fears translated into any identifiable trueEX loss.
II. Balance of Hardships135
When balancing the hardships, âthe issue is whether [the movants] would suffer decidedly greater harm from an erroneous denial of an injunction than the defendants would suffer from an erroneous grant.â136
In this case, the risk to Markit-SERV of an erroneous injunction is slight. True, issuance of a preliminary injunction would require MarkitSERV to assis